March was yet another strong month for stocks, with the S&P 500 rallying roughly 3%, bringing first quarter returns to about 10%. This robust start to the year comes on the heels of a great close to 2023. In fact, when we look at the last 6 months the S&P 500 has gained over 20%. (YCharts)
While it’s important to participate in periods of stock market strength we’re always on the lookout for signs of economic and market weakness. Currently, we are positioned for growth as we believe there are few signs of an imminent recession.
One of the most important influences on the outlook for both the economy and stock market this year is Federal Reserve policy. The intense focus on the Fed comes as a result of shifting policy (from restrictive to accommodative), and investors’ desire to know when the expected shift will become reality.
The March Fed meeting was an interesting and important one as it provided some updated clarity on this topic. Today, we’re going to highlight the biggest takeaways from that meeting: