September has historically been the worst month of the year for stocks (LPL Financial), and this year was no different as the S&P 500 closed the month down almost 4%. (YCharts) Despite recent weakness the stock market has shown amazing resilience as the S&P 500 is about 4% higher year-to-date, rallying 50% from the lows in March. (YCharts)
COVID-19 has undoubtedly been the biggest factor impacting the economy and stock market this year, and will likely continue to be the most important item to watch as we enter the fourth quarter and move into 2021. Amidst the backdrop of a global pandemic the economy has steadily improved over the last few months. The improvement in economic data, combined with the latest market pull-back, has led us to increase our stock market exposure.